Melgund Recreation, Arts and Culture
Public Comments Archive

19.2.3.5 HYDROLOGY AND SURFACE WATER QUALITY

Detailed Technical Assessment Report • Ref: REC-TLCD-9L7O

Section Synopsis

Pages: 223-226

This section of the Initial Project Description evaluates the potential impacts of the Deep Geological Repository (DGR) on hydrology and surface water quality. It identifies various project activities—such as site clearing, blasting, and effluent discharge—that could adversely affect water systems. The proponent outlines a mitigation strategy centered on a water management system, sediment control, and adherence to regulatory guidelines. While acknowledging that site-specific water balance and quality modeling are currently incomplete, the proponent concludes that residual risks to hydrology and surface water quality are 'low' based on the anticipated effectiveness of standard industry practices and regulatory oversight.

Community Assessment Narrative

The proponent’s assessment of hydrology and surface water quality presents a significant methodological tension: it assigns a 'low risk' rating to residual effects while simultaneously admitting that critical site-specific modeling has not yet been conducted. This reliance on 'industry experience' and 'regulatory guidance' as a proxy for site-specific data introduces a potential bias toward optimistic outcomes. By labeling risks as low before completing the integrated site-wide water balance and water quality modeling, the proponent may be underestimating the unique hydrogeological complexities of the Ignace region. Furthermore, the document mentions that regulatory guidelines are expected to be met within a 'regulated mixing zone,' which implicitly acknowledges a zone of localized environmental degradation that is not fully explored in terms of its impact on local aquatic life or traditional land use.

Transparency is also a concern regarding the 'moderate likelihood' of residual effects. While the degree of impact is labeled 'low,' the admission of a moderate likelihood suggests that changes to the water system are probable. The narrative lacks a detailed discussion of how extreme weather events, exacerbated by climate change, might stress the proposed water management infrastructure beyond its design capacity. The commitment to share results with Indigenous communities (WLON) and the Township of Ignace only after modeling is complete suggests a reactive rather than proactive approach to community consultation on technical environmental risks. Overall, the text prioritizes regulatory compliance over a precautionary, data-driven assessment of local environmental sensitivity.

Corrective Measures & Recommendations

The proponent should prioritize the completion and public release of the integrated site-wide water balance and water quality modeling prior to the finalization of the Impact Statement. This modeling must explicitly account for climate change variables, such as increased frequency of extreme freshet events and prolonged drought conditions, to validate the claim that 'low risk' status can be maintained under stress. Without this data, the current risk characterization lacks the necessary scientific foundation to be considered conclusive by regulatory bodies and affected communities.

Additionally, the proponent should provide a detailed definition and spatial mapping of the proposed 'regulated mixing zones' for effluent discharge. This should include an assessment of the potential for bioaccumulation of contaminants within these zones and the resulting implications for fish health and traditional Indigenous harvesting practices. To improve transparency, a robust contingency and adaptive management plan should be developed that outlines specific corrective actions to be taken if monitoring detects exceedances of Provincial Water Quality Objectives, ensuring that 'short-term changes' do not evolve into long-term environmental degradation.

On 16 February, 2026 the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada (IAAC), with input from the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC), published a Summary of Issues (SOI) for the proposed Deep Geological Repository (DGR) for Canada’s Used Nuclear Fuel Project, put forward by the Nuclear Waste Management Organization (NWMO). The SOI identifies the key issues that IAAC considers relevant to the federal integrated impact assessment process for the project. NWMO’s response to the SOI will assist IAAC in determining whether an impact assessment is required under section 16 of the Impact Assessment Act. If an impact assessment is required, the issues outlined in the SOI—together with NWMO’s response—will help shape the scope of the assessment and inform the continued development and finalization of the Integrated Tailored Impact Statement Guidelines and associated plans.

Alignments to IAAC Summary (SOI)

The technical findings from Melgund Township demonstrate a high degree of alignment with the "Summary of Issues" (SOI) published by the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada (IAAC) on February 16, 2026. Specifically, the community’s concern regarding incomplete hydrological and geochemical modeling directly supports the IAAC’s identified issue under the "Groundwater and Surface Water" theme, which notes uncertainties regarding water sourcing and the potential for cumulative effects on water quality and quantity. Melgund’s observation that the proponent’s risk assessment remains speculative until site-wide water balance modeling is finished validates the IAAC’s broader concern regarding "Potential and cumulative effects on water" and the "Geochemical behaviour of rock material."

A significant alignment is also found regarding the proponent’s characterization of risk. Melgund Township’s analysis suggests that the "low risk" designation is premature given the acknowledged uncertainties in mitigation effectiveness. This mirrors the IAAC’s concerns listed under "Accidents and Malfunctions," specifically the "High uncertainty novel project potential for accidents and malfunctions," and the "Project description" section in Annex A, which questions how uncertainty and the effectiveness of proposed mitigation measures are characterized. Furthermore, the community’s critique of the proponent’s reliance on "regulated mixing zones" provides a specific technical focal point for the IAAC’s more general concerns regarding "Radiological contamination of water" and "Fish and Fish Habitat."

A critical gap identified by Melgund Township, which strengthens the IAAC’s SOI, is the social implication of data withholding. While the IAAC flags "Public Engagement and Communication" and "Adequacy of Indigenous engagement" as key issues, Melgund Township provides a concrete example of this failure: the proponent’s intention to share technical results and site-specific mitigation measures only after modeling is complete. This forces the community to accept a "low risk" conclusion without access to the underlying data, directly contradicting the IAAC’s call for "transparency in reporting monitoring results" and "clear, accessible, plain-language, and inclusive communications."

Recommendations

The working group recommendations focus on moving from speculative risk characterization to a data-driven, transparent assessment process. It is recommended that the proponent be required to complete and publicly release integrated site-wide water balance and water quality modeling before the Impact Statement is finalized. To address the IAAC’s concerns regarding "Potential and cumulative effects on water," this modeling must explicitly incorporate climate change variables, such as extreme freshet events and prolonged droughts. By including these stressors, the proponent can move beyond "standard industry practices" to demonstrate whether the DGR system can maintain its "low risk" status under the specific environmental pressures of the Melgund region.

Furthermore, to address the issues identified in the "Fish and Fish Habitat" and "Radiological contamination of water" sections of the SOI, the proponent should provide detailed spatial mapping of proposed mixing zones. These recommendations emphasize the need for a robust contingency and adaptive management plan. Such a plan would bridge the gap between the proponent’s high confidence in mitigation and the community’s (and IAAC’s) concern over uncertainty. By defining specific corrective actions for exceedances of Provincial Water Quality Objectives, the proponent can provide the "institutional control" and "transparency" requested in the IAAC Summary of Issues, ensuring that localized impacts do not result in long-term degradation of the regional watershed.

Key Claims

Project activities could result in moderate to high adverse effects on hydrology and water quality without mitigation.
The effectiveness of proposed mitigation strategies, such as water management systems and erosion control, is well-established.
Residual effects on hydrology and surface water quality are characterized as low risk with a moderate likelihood of occurrence.
Regulatory guidelines (CCME and PWQO) will be met within a regulated mixing zone.
Site-wide water balance and water quality modeling will inform future environmental design and monitoring.

Underlying Assumptions

Standard industry mitigation measures will be equally effective in the specific environmental context of the project site.
Future modeling will confirm the preliminary 'low risk' assessment.
Short-term exceedances during storm events or droughts will not result in material departures from baseline conditions.
Regulatory oversight and licensing requirements are sufficient to mitigate any remaining technical uncertainties.

Critical Observations & Gaps

Analysis Table
Issue Identified Implication Information Required
Modeling for water balance and chemical composition is currently incomplete. The risk assessment is speculative until the integrated site-wide water balance and water quality modeling are finished. Completion and peer review of hydrological and geochemical models.
Reliance on 'regulated mixing zones' to meet water quality guidelines. Localized areas of water bodies may experience higher contaminant concentrations than baseline, potentially affecting aquatic ecosystems. Specific spatial boundaries and impact assessments for the proposed mixing zones.
High confidence in mitigation effectiveness despite acknowledged uncertainty. The 'low risk' designation may be premature and could lead to inadequate preparation for unexpected environmental responses. A sensitivity analysis showing the impact of mitigation failure or extreme weather events.
Technical results and site-specific mitigation measures will only be shared with local and Indigenous communities after modeling is complete. Communities are being asked to accept a 'low risk' conclusion without seeing the supporting data. Early engagement on the parameters and assumptions used in the upcoming hydrological models.

Working Group Recommendations

Environment

Challenge the Proponent to demonstrate the resilience of the 'water management system' and 'storage capacity' against extreme climate events (e.g., 100-year storms, rapid spring freshet) rather than relying on standard 'industry experience.'

The Proponent's submission acknowledges that 'short-term changes may occur due to storm events' that require greater discharge volumes. Given the changing climate in Northwestern Ontario, standard industry designs may be insufficient. If the storage capacity is overwhelmed, untreated runoff could enter the watershed. Ensuring the system is stress-tested against extreme local weather scenarios provides an advantage in preventing environmental accidents that would damage the region's reputation.
ENV-043
Human Environment (People)

Request a baseline inventory of all downstream surface water users (drinking water, lodges, recreational) in the Melgund area to assess the impact of 'residual adverse effects' on human health.

The Proponent's submission identifies a potential for 'residual adverse effects' on surface water quality and mentions 'non-Indigenous health conditions' as a pathway of change. To accurately assess this risk, the Proponent must identify exactly who is using the water downstream. This is critical for Melgund, as the unorganized territory lacks municipal water systems, making individual users highly vulnerable to even 'low risk' changes in water quality. This data will ensure that monitoring programs are relevant to actual human usage.
HEP-066
Human Environment (People)

Demand a 'Self-Sufficient Response Plan' for water contamination events, specifically addressing the scenario where storm events reduce 'sediment and erosion control effectiveness.'

The Proponent's submission admits that storm events may temporarily reduce control effectiveness, potentially altering water quality. Melgund Township is an unorganized territory with zero local emergency services or water treatment infrastructure; residents and businesses often rely on private intakes or direct surface water usage. The community cannot rely on distant regional hubs (Ignace/Dryden) to manage a water contamination crisis. The Proponent must demonstrate 100% self-sufficiency in detecting and containing water quality breaches immediately to protect the health of downstream residents.
HEP-067
Environment

Request specific spatial mapping and concentration gradients for the proposed 'regulated mixing zone' where effluent dilution is expected to occur.

The Proponent's submission notes that regulatory guidelines will be met 'within a regulated mixing zone.' This implies that within this specific zone, water quality guidelines may be exceeded. Melgund stakeholders must know the exact location and size of this zone to ensure it does not overlap with critical fish habitats, tourist lodge water intakes, or recreational areas. Clarifying this boundary is an opportunity to protect local assets and ensures that 'dilution' is not used as a substitute for adequate treatment.
ENV-044
Environment

Require the immediate completion and peer review of the 'integrated site-wide water balance and water quality modelling' prior to the acceptance of any risk designations.

The Proponent's submission explicitly states that this critical modelling 'has yet to be completed,' yet simultaneously assigns a 'Low Risk' rating to hydrology and surface water quality. For Melgund Township, where the local economy relies heavily on pristine water bodies for tourism and fishing, accepting a risk rating without the underlying data is unacceptable. This recommendation ensures that the 'Low Risk' designation is proven by site-specific science rather than assumed based on general 'industry experience.' Adopting this recommendation prevents the project from advancing on speculative assertions.
ENV-045

Understanding the Impacts of Nuclear Waste on our Community

This digital archive houses the public comments submitted to the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada regarding Project 88774: The Nuclear Waste Management Organization Deep Geological Repository (DGR) for Canada's Used Nuclear Fuel Project. The impact assessment is led jointly by the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada and the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission. This archive preserves community perspectives, concerns, and observations shared during the assessment process, particularly in relation to Melgund Township, Northwestern Ontario and the communities of Dyment and Borups Corners who are the closest and most impacted of all in the process.